Archive | October, 2015

Advice to Republicans: How to Win the White House in 2016

25 Oct

The TOP (Terry On Politics) Blog – Sunday, October 25, 2015 (Blog #2)

First the advice: If you are a Republican and you want a conservative Republican to win the White House in 2016, here is what you need to do: Make sure that Governor John Kasich of Ohio becomes the nominee, and make sure that he picks Marco Rubio (or someone very similar) as his running mate. That’s it.

Why? Because after the Benghazi Select Committed gifted Secretary Hillary Clinton with many hours of free and incredibly effective pro-Clinton advertising on October 22, the options of the Republican party for winning the Presidential election in 2016 have narrowed dramatically. More specifically, the only Republican candidate in the field who now has any chance of overcoming what the Benghazi Committee did that night is one who knows Washington well enough to counter the advantage they gave Secretary Clinton. It has to be one real insider knowledge, with real political chops, and one who is capable of real debate with Secretary Clinton. That narrow the field down very quickly to Governor Kasich, the one Republican who can for example claim to have balanced the federal budget and then pull out real-world proof that he’s not just making up the claim. The Republican Party will need that kind of solid foundations when they go in to debate Hillary Clinton.

So Republicans (I am not one), hear me: If you pick any other route, if pick any other nominee, you will see Secretary Hillary Clinton (or possibly Bernie Sanders) become President. Your odds are only about 50/50 even if you do pick John Kasich. But those odds will fall to single digits if you choose anyone else as your nominee, especially the current leader Donald Trump.

How can I say such things? I’m no talking head on TV, analyzing and re-analyzing each day’s news as if somehow, amazingly, that particular day’s news is more critical to the future than anything else that has ever happened. I have no experience in that kind of talky-talk. I’m not even an advocate for either party in this context. Instead, I just see an interesting problem, one to which I believe I can apply some experience I’ve gained over the years.

My job for the last ten years has instead been largely about predicting the future. It ain’t easy.

More specifically, I’ve spend years assessing how innovative new products and ideas could change society in unexpected and even dramatic ways. Understanding a new idea or radical technology is just the start, since how that idea interacts with the world around it is often the most baffling part of the equation. Good ideas die and bad ones thrive, more often than you might think and often for reasons that can be amazingly opaque.

Yet the future is not without its patterns and paths of lesser resistance. In fact, it is often a bit like an uncut diamond, rough in form and difficult to judge. Yet if it can be assessed correctly and struck in just the right fashion, it often can split along well-defined planes that lock the future into clearly defined paths.

And so it has struck me: The political impacts of unique individual are fundamentally not all that different in terms of future impacts from the impacts of unique technologies. Like technologies, people and components of politics can be very complex and opaque. Yet those impacts also have their planes of leverage and lesser resistance. As with diamonds, sometimes it is the application of just the right force at just the right angle that can lead to a clear outcome. What that force and angle are depends critically on the shape, strengths, and flaws of the gem that is being cut.


The TOP (Terry On Politics) Blog – Sunday, Oct 25, 2015

25 Oct

Mark Twain on the Benghazi Hearings

I’ve always admired fellow Missourian Mark Twain’s sense of humor when it comes to politics. For example, he (may have) once said:

“Suppose for a moment that you were a politician. Then suppose for a moment that you were a jackass… oh sorry, sorry, I’m repeating myself…”

So one wonders what might Mark Twain have said about the Benghazi Select Committee’s October 22 marathon grilling of Secretary Hillary Clinton? I can’t resist! Here’s my best guess.

In a time when many of us have all but given up on the ability of our elected officials to extend the hand of friendship across the political aisle, it pleases my heart to note that last night we were treated to a truly gracious and entirely unexpected example of giftmanship and skillful political maneuvering.

I am referring of course to the eleven-hour interview of Secretary Hillary Rodham Clinton by the Benghazi Select Committee.

I had no idea before watching this spectacle that this illustrious committee was so dedicated to getting Secretary Clinton elected as the next President of our great nation. Nor did I have any inkling of the level of political acumen and effort they were willing to exercise to achieve that goal!

Clearly I am but a rank amateur when it comes to political subtlety. I did not think it humanly possible to make Secretary Clinton look both incredibly competent and deeply worthy of sympathy from everyday working folks, yet these true political geniuses under the brilliant leadership of Chairman Trey Gowdy somehow managed to pull off just that. I am breathless in admiration and respect for such a profound display of skills!

And how can one not admire the committee’s display of the utmost in politically generosity? Those clever scalawags, pretending to despise the Secretary while in fact working feverishly both day and night to ensure her election! The fervor they displayed last night to unite our divided country under Secretary Clinton gives new hope to the cynical of mind, including most of all myself.

Chairman Gowdy, I can only bow my head to you in humble thanks! It is rare indeed to find a man gifted with such a powerful combination of insight, subtlety, and political magnanimity, but in you we have found that man. Your all-but-sealed gift to our nation of a new President Clinton will be spoken of in hushed voices for generations to come.

Especially by Republicans… Continue reading